In recent annual general shareholders’ meeting, many real estate companies have announced their business plans for the whole year. Generally, companies set high targets for earning, which is around 50% higher than the previous year on average. We suppose that the plans can be completely feasible and achievable, because many projects are approaching their handover phases, creating a driving force for revenues and profits.
In Q1 2018, MWG opened 72 Bach Hoa Xanh stores, added to the total 355 stores. The total revenue was VND 606 Bn and EBITDA of VND 60 Bn. The monthly average revenue per store is VND 700 Mn with the gross margin of 14%, still far from reaching the target of VND 1 Bn in revenue and 14% in gross margin. It seems that the low margin is still a big concern for MWG. |
The potential for industrial real estate is becoming enormous given the increasing flows of FDI and the expansion of domestic production. However, Vietnamese developers have to face intense competition with other industrial park operators in ASEAN countries, especially Indonesia who has been offering great incentives to industrial investors.
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NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement between Canada, the US and Mexico) has been on the news since before President Trump was elected. The agreement went into effect in early 1994 and was preceded by the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement, signed in 1989. This author worked on the latter as a graduate student.
We took a quick look at the earnings of 478/765 companies annoucing their results.
Backtrack about a year ago when the market started speculating that the FED might be a bit ‘behind the curve’ in its handling of monetary policy, the Dollar (as measured by DXY) was at around 99 – see Figure 1). It fell by 10% to a low of 89 by the first quarter of 2018 then rebounded in April.
In the context of the slowing down in the mobile phone and electronic markets, big retailers such as MWG, FRT and DGW are seeking for opportunities in another markets. These are the markets that have high growth potential and above all, there are no major competitors in the industry. While MWG is betting on retailing food with Bach Hoa Xanh, DGW and FRT aims to a less risky markets which is pharmaceutical products. This trend also promotes the development of modern retail and Omni-channel in Vietnam.
Nam Kim Steel JSC (NKG) has released its Q1/2018 financial statements, achieving revenues of VND 3,600 billion, +50% yoy. However, NPAT is only VND 121 billion, down 22% yoy. According to the information disclosed at the AGM, NKG sold over 207,000 tons of steel, equivalent to an increase of 46% over the same period last year thanks to the launch of new GI/GL lines.
Despite the challenging mobile phone market, FRT still managed to grow well in the 1st quarter, revenue growth rate was 17% YoY, while NPAT gained a growth rate of 32% thanks to adjustments in product portfolio, focusing more on accessories and services that have high gross margin (29%).
Despite a 34% growth in the bottom line, from a high base in Q1 2017, it seems that PPC’s earnings report in the first quarter this year still failed to beat market expectations. This might explain why the stock dropped 8% right after the financial report was released. However, with our forecast of a 23% NPAT growth, we still believe that 2018 would be a good year for PPC.
With strong experience in management in that sector and the company’s constructive attitude toward shareholders, we consider REE as an efficient way to get exposure to the power and water utilities sector. In 2018, the catalyst in this business segment will be the contribution from new associate companies including CHP and VCW, which account for 11% of its earnings. Meanwhile, VIID and SGR with expected earnings growth of 60% and 43%, respectively, would contribute 11% to the total NPAT of VND 1,683 billion, corresponding to EPS of VND 5,374.